Lebanon on the brink of the precipice

Elijah Magnier- Hezbollah won’t throw away its weapons and will try to avoid civil war but not a battle if necessary.

It was not surprising to hear the Israeli President Reuven Rivlin and his army chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi knocking at the door of the Elysée, residence of the President of the French Republic, criticising Hezbollah and, of course, Iran. It is beyond doubt that Israel will never willingly swallow the presence of a powerful force on its borders, equipped with hundreds of strategic precision missiles that can cover the entire geographic area of Palestine. Hezbollah also has tens of thousands of modified rockets with high precision but shorter distance. Nevertheless, Israel had failed to confront Hezbollah face to face in 2006 even when the organisation was less experienced and with fewer precision missiles. Therefore, any new confrontation will be highly costly to Israel, and the outcome is far from guaranteed. Thus, following the failure to divide Syria in 2011 and Iraq in 2014 and the attempt to submit Iran through the harshest US sanctions since the rise of the “Islamic Republic”, its prospects for defeating Hezbollah are now slimmer than ever.

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https://thealtworld.com/elijah_magnier/lebanon-on-the-brink-of-the-precipice