Lukashenko Strongly Hinted That He Expects Belgorod-Like Proxy Incursions Against Belarus
Andrew Korybko- Belarus’ red line is reasonable since employing these weapons in response to Belgorod-like proxy incursions would be an overreaction
The very fact that the Belarusian leader said that NATO and/or Ukraine’s dispatch of “small units” to his country wouldn’t cross his red line suggests that he expects that it might occur in the near future. As long as this isn’t “full-blown aggression” that sees their “troops…cross the border and start a (larger) war”, then he wouldn’t request the use of Russia’s tactical nukes in response to Belgorod-like scenarios.
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